AnimationNation Forum

AnimationNation


Post New Topic  Post A Reply
my profile login | | search | faq | forum home
  next oldest topic   next newest topic
» AnimationNation   » General Discussion   » The Incredibles Box Office Predictions (Page 1)

 
This topic is comprised of pages:  1  2 
 
Author Topic: The Incredibles Box Office Predictions
Sketchboy
IE # 126
Member # 2537

Icon 7 posted      Profile for Sketchboy   Email Sketchboy         Edit/Delete Post 
Okay, only 8 days til "The Incredibles" opens and I can't wait!! Thought I'd open up the topic and predict what its opening weekend box office might be. Judging from all the buzz, both from my brethren inside and outside the industry, looks like the Incredibles should make a killing. My guess: $70 million.
IP: Logged
Charles
Administrator
Member # 7

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Charles           Edit/Delete Post 
Hold on, Sketchboy, hold on. Let's get a box office projection poll started.

--------------------
 -

IP: Logged
Sketchboy
IE # 126
Member # 2537

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Sketchboy   Email Sketchboy         Edit/Delete Post 
Sorry Charles. [funny] Got trigger happy there.
IP: Logged
Charles
Administrator
Member # 7

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Charles           Edit/Delete Post 
Okay, here it is.

http://www.animationnation.com/ubb/ultimatebb.php?ubb=get_topic;f=5;t=000088;p=1#000000

--------------------
 -

IP: Logged
Doodles
Member
Member # 565

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Doodles   Email Doodles         Edit/Delete Post 
I'll go WAY out on a limb with this one. I'm predicting triple digits. $100 mil by Sunday night of opening weekend. [bow]
IP: Logged
Russian Judge
IE # 174
Member # 3004

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Russian Judge   Author's Homepage   Email Russian Judge         Edit/Delete Post 
30 seconds after voting, I thought I aimed low...the $60-65 million range. It occurred to me then that, after all the horrible election crap we've been through, the public might flock to something escapist and fun. They probably won't use my remedy for the post-election depression...sipping NyQuil for blissful unconsciousness.

--------------------
See the new, updated TOON Magazine Online
at http://www.toonmag.com

IP: Logged
Dan P.
IE # 248
Member # 893

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Dan P.   Email Dan P.         Edit/Delete Post 
Doodles, I don't think you're that way out on a limb when predicting $100 million, especially when you consider that Shrek 2 made $108 million on it's own opening weekend.

Of course that was an established franchise, but it's not crazy to expect something close to that range for Brad's film. I'm personally thinking something in the $80-90 million area, which would still be sky-high for an original property.

Go Brad! Go Pixar!

IP: Logged
old_blue
Member
Member # 3117

Icon 1 posted      Profile for old_blue   Email old_blue         Edit/Delete Post 
60-70 opening weekend and under 200 for the month...With Polar Express and Spongbob it wont have the legs that Nemo did and wont make as much as Nemo either.
IP: Logged
Marcus Moore
IE # 108
Member # 197

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Marcus Moore   Author's Homepage   Email Marcus Moore         Edit/Delete Post 
There is extra competition for the younger set, but if the movie plays broadly, it might not take as much of a hit as if it had been FINDING NEMO, which definitely skews younger.

--------------------
 -

IP: Logged
animator-boy
IE # 54
Member # 442

Icon 1 posted      Profile for animator-boy   Author's Homepage   Email animator-boy         Edit/Delete Post 
$100 million 3 day gross......

--------------------
www.raymation.net

IP: Logged
Greg B
IE # 118
Member # 886

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Greg B   Author's Homepage   Email Greg B         Edit/Delete Post 
Are you guys on crack or something???

$100 million 3 day gross???

No freakin' way. School's still in. Pressure to do good grades before Christmas report cards. Post election blues. Fear of terrorism. Fear of Bush. It's gonna be cold out.

If it opened on a Wednesday I'ld say it'd make $100 mill easy. If it opens on a Friday, good weather allowing, I'll say it will bring in a good $40 mill. It won't stop either. Since it's PIXAR you KNOW you have to go see the movie 10 times just to see all the neat stuff again. So of course it'll hit $200 mill within a month and go on to an easy $300 mill by Christmas.

Weather, terrorists, evil teachers withstanding.

--------------------
http://www.boonestoons.com
http://www.spacefool.com

IP: Logged
Dan P.
IE # 248
Member # 893

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Dan P.   Email Dan P.         Edit/Delete Post 
I don't know what you're on Greg but if you think the most it can bring in in it's first weekend is a mere $40 million you might find yourself being even more off the mark than we are. For further proof, consider Shark Tale, which opened at $47.6 million with considerably lower buzz. I don't see how The Incredibles could make any less than that.

But hey, maybe I am on crack and it will barely surpass "Alfie" and "Alexander". But I'd rather think positive. [Smile]

IP: Logged
Marcus Moore
IE # 108
Member # 197

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Marcus Moore   Author's Homepage   Email Marcus Moore         Edit/Delete Post 
Last weeks' #1 film THE GRUDGE OPENED at $39.1 million.

--------------------
 -

IP: Logged
oogieboogie
IE # 265
Member # 2706

Icon 1 posted      Profile for oogieboogie           Edit/Delete Post 
Well, I'm going, and I haven't been out to a movie in months. Taking the family, too.

oogie

IP: Logged
Marcus Moore
IE # 108
Member # 197

Icon 12 posted      Profile for Marcus Moore   Author's Homepage   Email Marcus Moore         Edit/Delete Post 
I think I'll be taking a long lunch that day. And I'm thinking popcorn will be on the menu...

--------------------
 -

IP: Logged
Doodles
Member
Member # 565

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Doodles   Email Doodles         Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
No freakin' way. School's still in. Pressure to do good grades before Christmas report cards. Post election blues. Fear of terrorism. Fear of Bush. It's gonna be cold out.
I need an escape from exams. I want to think about something else besides an election. If we can't watch animated films, the terrorists have already won. The theatre is warmer than the house.

Face it, if "Shark Tale" can pull in over $40 mil with most of those same problems facing the country, and poor reviews, none of that is going to be any challenge to this movie. [Razz]

IP: Logged
Greg B
IE # 118
Member # 886

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Greg B   Author's Homepage   Email Greg B         Edit/Delete Post 
Shark Tale got $40 Mill cause it's worth that and more. Had it opened when the kids were out of school it woulda gotten $70 mill without a Wednesday opening.

It ain't a matter if the film is good or not, it's the fact that KIDS WILL STILL BE IN SCHOOL so they won't be hitting the matinees on Friday, nor piling in multiple times during the week!

Summer and Fall are two different balls of wax. Don't be suprised that during Thanksgiving break if Incredibles does as good then as it will do on opening weekend.

Like I said, a PIXAR movie gets multiple viewerships because they know how to entertain.

Did you see the worldwide gross for Shrek 2? It's like almost $900 million! That's astounding! Shark Tale is over $200 mill worldwide too.

I would say the global gross for Incredibles will easily be close to if not past $100 mill the first weekend and that's being very conservative.

The movie will have legs all throughout the big 3 holiday seasons. It'll make a minimum of $300 mill during that period domestically.

--------------------
http://www.boonestoons.com
http://www.spacefool.com

IP: Logged
Dan P.
IE # 248
Member # 893

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Dan P.   Email Dan P.         Edit/Delete Post 
So what you're basically saying is that Shark Tale seems like a better film than The Incredibles? I don't get it.
IP: Logged
Marcus Moore
IE # 108
Member # 197

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Marcus Moore   Author's Homepage   Email Marcus Moore         Edit/Delete Post 
I don't think that's what he's saying... But I think you've made a mistake Greg, SHARKTALE opened on October 1st! Kids were already back in school. So THE INCREDIBLES is opening under the exact same conditions.

--------------------
 -

IP: Logged
Marcus Moore
IE # 108
Member # 197

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Marcus Moore   Author's Homepage   Email Marcus Moore         Edit/Delete Post 
Wait, I just reread your post. That's not what you're saying...


...what are you saying? That it will open to the same amount.

--------------------
 -

IP: Logged
monkeydad
Member
Member # 1566

Icon 1 posted      Profile for monkeydad   Email monkeydad         Edit/Delete Post 
One meelllion dollars!

(da da dum, da da dum....)

I mean... One hundred beelllllion dollars!

(da da dum, da da dum....)

mwahahaha, mwahahaha, mwahahahahahaha!

IP: Logged
Animagus
IE # 49
Member # 279

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Animagus   Author's Homepage           Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
Don't be suprised that during Thanksgiving break if Incredibles does as good then as it will do on opening weekend.

So, you're saying you don't have much faith in "Polar Express" and "Spongebob", which it will then be up against? Or, how well do you think that those will do?

--------------------
www.robertgold.blogspot.com

IP: Logged
Aaron Simpson
IE # 92
Member # 1730

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Aaron Simpson   Author's Homepage   Email Aaron Simpson         Edit/Delete Post 
the harry potter movies made around 90 in those two november openings, and before that, the two biggest November openings were Monsters Inc at 62, and toy story at 57. I'm going with 78 million. there is simply no competition out there next week.

--------------------
coldhardflash.com

IP: Logged
animator-boy
IE # 54
Member # 442

Icon 1 posted      Profile for animator-boy   Author's Homepage   Email animator-boy         Edit/Delete Post 
Incredibles is also said to have the SW: Revenge of the Sith teaser in front of it....I'm sure that will help boost its opening weekend numbers..

--------------------
www.raymation.net

IP: Logged
Greg B
IE # 118
Member # 886

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Greg B   Author's Homepage   Email Greg B         Edit/Delete Post 
Animator Boy, if 'Incredibles' has the 'Revenge Of The Sith' trailer that should add mega attendance until the trailer shows up on the web somewhere 2 days later.

--------------------
http://www.boonestoons.com
http://www.spacefool.com

IP: Logged
Hmmmm
Member
Member # 1719

Icon 7 posted      Profile for Hmmmm   Email Hmmmm         Edit/Delete Post 
Well Greg B. at least we'll be able to find out how good you are at judging the box office, and if your theory about kids being in school makes a difference or not. I personally think that the kids this will attract are teens, and if they're anything like mine, they'll be in the theaters on opening weekend.
IP: Logged
Corn Fed
Member
Member # 1085

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Corn Fed   Email Corn Fed         Edit/Delete Post 
40 mil is WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAYYYYYYYYY too low. "Incredibles" will do "Star Wars"-like numbers. Biggest money-maker of the year, without a doubt. I predict at least 80 million opening weekend. Bring it on, Pixar!
IP: Logged
Dickie Crickitts
Member
Member # 690

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Dickie Crickitts   Email Dickie Crickitts         Edit/Delete Post 
I think it will do better than Shark Tale. Lets hope so anyway.
IP: Logged
Dickie Crickitts
Member
Member # 690

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Dickie Crickitts   Email Dickie Crickitts         Edit/Delete Post 
60 million
IP: Logged
Ravenshoe
IE # 186
Member # 783

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Ravenshoe           Edit/Delete Post 
If there was ever a "must see" movie, it's The Incredibles. It looks brilliant and I'm guessing its going to set an all-time opening-weekend box office record (for animation).

At today's current rate of exchange... carry the one...

What IS the current record? Whatever it is, The Incredibles will smash it.

IP: Logged
Doodles
Member
Member # 565

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Doodles   Email Doodles         Edit/Delete Post 
I just saw the movie last night.

I stand by my $100 mil projection, and suspect it may do more. [thumbsup]

IP: Logged
Animagus
IE # 49
Member # 279

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Animagus   Author's Homepage           Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
One meelllion dollars!

(da da dum, da da dum....)

I mean... One hundred beelllllion dollars!

(da da dum, da da dum....)

mwahahaha, mwahahaha, mwahahahahahaha

Well, y' know...
*** SPOILER ALERT ***


"Syndrome" does reside "inside a volcano...surrounded by liquid hot MAGMAAAAAHHH. "

--------------------
www.robertgold.blogspot.com

IP: Logged
Im2dGuy
IE # 25
Member # 1160

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Im2dGuy   Author's Homepage   Email Im2dGuy         Edit/Delete Post 
I was just walking around West Hollywood
in an Incedible Halloween Costume,
and was truly amazed at the number of people,
kids and adults, that recognized me,
and shouted,
"hey it's Mr Incredible!" [thumbsup]

Disney marketing knows what they are doing.
There's a lot of Brand recognition already.
I say 90-100 million, opening.

--------------------
www.animationbrad.com

IP: Logged
Doodles
Member
Member # 565

Icon 12 posted      Profile for Doodles   Email Doodles         Edit/Delete Post 
So...

You're balding and have an enormous beergut? [Big Grin]

IP: Logged
CreepyDan
Member
Member # 2224

Icon 1 posted      Profile for CreepyDan   Email CreepyDan         Edit/Delete Post 
$20,800,000 on Friday (in about 3,900 theaters)!

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2004-11-05&p=.htm

Here's how it stacked up to other Friday openings:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/days/f-th.htm?page=Fri&p=.htm

"Incredibles" beat "Finding Nemo" for a Friday!

Go Bob!

IP: Logged
Tinalera Shadowhawk
Member
Member # 669

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Tinalera Shadowhawk   Email Tinalera Shadowhawk         Edit/Delete Post 
So figuring what, 60-70 million opening weekend, not too shabby! Gotta go see this movie when the crowds die down.
IP: Logged
Dan P.
IE # 248
Member # 893

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Dan P.   Email Dan P.         Edit/Delete Post 
The way I figure, The Incredibles will make it's money over a long period of time as word of mouth travels around just as Nemo did in it's theatrical run. So although one could say this is a relatively low amount for opening day, this is an original property and it will just get better as it goes along.
IP: Logged
Michael W Howe
IE # 251
Member # 1827

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Michael W Howe   Email Michael W Howe         Edit/Delete Post 
I was estimating an $80 million opening weekend, but I still figure Incredibles will be like all good films, and outlast tacky Hollywood fare. Incredibles has the potential to run in a theatre for at least 2 months. Hollywood films die in about 1, or in the case of Surviving Christmas, 2 weeks. Hey, I'm a projectionist as well as an animator, but I'd rather animate.

--------------------
"He's got three Piston Cups!"
"He did WHAT in his cup!??"

IP: Logged
old_blue
Member
Member # 3117

Icon 1 posted      Profile for old_blue   Email old_blue         Edit/Delete Post 
Please it beat Nemo in an estimate by less then 1 million dollars and probably wont make as much long term as Nemo or SHrek2 with all the holiday competition out there. When Nemo came out in the summer it had no competition. It wont be the same story this time. Specially since Polar Express opens on WED of next week.
IP: Logged
Hmmmm
Member
Member # 1719

Icon 1 posted      Profile for Hmmmm   Email Hmmmm         Edit/Delete Post 
BTW wasn't it supposed to be up against Polar Express??? I didn't see that film listed on the Friday Box Office Mojo prediction. Can someone fill me in?
IP: Logged



This topic is comprised of pages:  1  2 
 
Post New Topic  Post A Reply Close Topic   Feature Topic   Move Topic   Delete Topic next oldest topic   next newest topic
 - Printer-friendly view of this topic
Hop To:

Contact Us | Animation Nation

Animation Nation © 1999-2012

Powered by Infopop Corporation
UBB.classicTM 6.5.0