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Topic: "Cars" opening weekend box office survey...
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Mr. Fun
IE # 63
Member # 352
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posted
Seems like we can't get away from this opening weekend Thing. Now, this box office tally has become a religion for film studios, Wall Street, and analysts.
In any case, Pixar's "Cars" will open strong over the weekend, and will continue to have legs -- or maybe I should say, tires.
The film is good -- but I could have told you that two years ago.
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Floyd Bishop
IE # 183
Member # 2322
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posted
My guess (I know it's high) is $120 million.
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Floyd Bishop
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Dan P.
IE # 248
Member # 893
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posted
Yeah, I wouldn't put any money on that! ![[Wink]](wink.gif)
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C W Oberleitner
IE # 222
Member # 3197
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posted
No offense Charles, I'm with Mr. Fun on this one. Opening weekend is a joke. It's a way for studio "money boys" to keep score. Especially since most of their assistants have long since hidden the office ruler. http://www.animationnation.com/ubb/icons/icon11.gif
There are lots of very good movies that did poorly their first weekend out of the gate only to go on to solid long term returns and or very good home video sales. I never met a studio exec who wouldn't bank long term money just as fast as opening grosses.
Opening weekend can often be a crap shoot, especially during the summer season when mass appeal films can often find themselves opening on one another's heals.
Fortunately, CARS looks like it has the next two weeks pretty much to itself. Last weekend's top five films are all slowing down and The Omen (please note NOT o-meon) seems to have already grabbed most of its opening audience.
Again I agree with our Mr. Fun, I think CARS strength lies in its universal appeal, which will make it an easy choice for audiences of all ages to return to again and again throughout this summer.
It will dip when Superman opens and again when Pirates of the Caribbean II comes out, but as July and August wear on I think it's gonna to do the kind of repeat business Nemo did.
Anyway, that's my two pence.
www.o-meon.com
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Charles
Administrator
Member # 7
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posted
C'mon now, guys. It's fun. An opening weekend box office poll is a good way of testing our communal ability to project how a film will initially do. Plus, we don't have to wait long for the results. Just a couple of days. It's a way for us to celebrate the release of yet another animated feature film, which is as good a reason as any to be upbeat here.
Only two more hours to go before the survey closes, so be sure to get your estimate in if you haven't done it by now.
http://www.animationnation.com/cgi-bin/ultimatebb.cgi?ubb=get_topic&f=5&t=000112
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Greg B
IE # 118
Member # 886
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posted
Opening weekend estimates are very important for many reasons.
The odd thing nowadays is how some movies rake in a ton of money over the weekend and die on the vine either fast or slowly.
On the other hand, some movies ride in the back on their opening weekends and spring up or have a long life surprising many.
Foreign box office numbers are sometimes more important than domestic. MI:III did like $120 mill domestically but twice as much overseas making it a $300+ million blockbuster. Go figure.
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http://www.boonestoons.com
http://www.spacefool.com
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Matt Wilson
IE # 139
Member # 1520
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posted
Box Office Mojo lists Cars' Friday estimate at $19,300,000. The 11 people who voted between $60-70 look to be on the mark.
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Dan P.
IE # 248
Member # 893
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posted
I'm one of those. I still hope it picks up some steam and makes a little bit more, but I'm definitely not surprised that it won't be breaking any records this weekend.
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Mr. Fun
IE # 63
Member # 352
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posted
I spoke to Disney's film chairman, Dick Cook this morning. He sure didn't look worried about "Cars."
This little film's gonna do just fine, and Brad Bird's "Ratatouille" is well on the way for next year.
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